Chinese Academy of Social Sciences recently released the 2013 "blue book" China industry. Which pointed out that on the whole, China industrial competitiveness is still on the rise, machinery and equipment, chemical industry (market area) and other industries through internal quality improvement, is to rise again; at the same time, some industries have decreased technology competitiveness is not strong and part of the advantage of the traditional industry, especially the current ills overcapacity pending remediation.
In this regard, China Industrial Economic Research Academy of Social Sciences researcher Zhang Qizai in the "2013" blue book "industry conference" on the proposal, strengthen governance overcapacity, should be fully integrated with industry capacity building, to prevent Chinese industrial competitiveness caused some adverse effects of excess capacity for governance. Cai Weici, vice president of China Machinery Industry Federation, said to resolve excess capacity, to focus on the hands of the market, that is to give enterprises a more competitive environment for the survival of the fittest.
China will welcome the new ten years of economic growth and industrial upgradingBlue paper pointed out that since the reform and opening up, Chinese exports accounted for the proportion of total global exports (international market share) showing an overall growth momentum, more than 10% in 2010, compared with 2010 2011 basically stable, the market share of 10.43%, compared with 2002, increased by 5 percentage points.
In 2012, Chinese industry in the international market share of the rally, as of September 2012 data calculation, Chinese international market share of over 11%. Moreover, China's trade competitiveness index has rebounded slightly since 2008, after three years of decline in 2012.
"The 2013 economic growth in developed countries will remain weak, but there is less likelihood of a substantial decline in the economic growth of developing countries will be affected by the situation of weak growth in developed countries, but its steady growth momentum will not change fundamentally. Southeast Asia, Africa and other regions may still achieve rapid economic growth, which is conducive to China's stable export growth." Blue book said.
Blue book that, after 30 years of reform and opening up, China has established a system of mutual support between industries, labor costs in some developing countries although very competitive, but supported by comprehensive industrial system (market area) compared to the competitive advantage and China, there is still a certain gap.
In addition, the blue book also pointed out that although the current domestic Chinese face costs rise further, especially the pressure of rising labor costs, but Chinese labor scale is still large, and by 2020 there will be China labor quality greatly improved, 25 years old and above average labor education from 8.56 years to 10.2 years; this result that China labor quality still in the period of rapid increase, the next 10 years, ten years China will usher in "quality of demographic dividend brought by economic growth and industrial upgrading.
Machinery and equipment industry is picking up boomBlue book also pointed out that the technical content of Chinese exports show a certain degree of growth, the world ranking has from 2005 in 40 before the outside into the current among the world's top 40, slightly higher than the global average, but still in addition to 30. In recent years, China is developing a number of new industries. These industries over the past few years, the dominant comparative advantage index of less than 1, nearly 3 years has been greater than 1. Most likely to become a potential advantage of the industry focus on the global product space of the central region, from the type of industry, the same focus on machinery and equipment, chemical industry.
At the same time, there are also some problems in China's industries, such as the low technological competitiveness and the decline of some traditional industries. There are 18 kinds of advantages of China's traditional industries into the weak, the dominant comparative advantage index of these products was greater than 1, but in recent years, the dominant comparative advantage index of less than 1." Blue paper pointed out that the agricultural products, "two high and one capital" (high energy consumption and high pollution and resource products) and other fields, the competitiveness is gradually disappearing, as a weak industry.
"Don't say the equipment manufacturing industry Chinese improperly belittle oneself or mechanical industrial competitiveness worth mentioning, (in fact) in a number of complete sets of equipment and host China have strong competitiveness." Cai Weici said that in the face of the so-called overcapacity problem, to create a conducive to the survival of the fittest market environment of fair competition, so that the market mechanism really play a role.
Forced mechanism has made the machinery industry practitioners feel the pressure of the decline in the growth rate of demand, in order to cope with the pressure, the industry pay more attention to innovation driven, relying on product upgrades to open up new space." Cai Weici believes that although the growth rate of machinery industry by the high-speed growth of 25% in 2000 -2010, 2011 and 2012 11%, into 12% relatively low growth, but the industry to enhance the intrinsic quality of efforts are achieved. After a relatively difficult period, China's machinery industry transformation and upgrading problems can be solved, China is expected to become the world's machinery industry.
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